ESPN.com - Major League Baseball - Rumor CentralESPN.com's Jayson Stark reports that reliever Mark Guthrie is close to signing with Oakland to be the club's fifth starter. The deal being reported is for two years and $3.6 million with incentives that could earn him another $2 million if he makes 50 starts over the next two years. (Jan. 4)
I hope that Billy Beane isn't succumbing to the same faults that have hurt folks like Tony LaRussa and Dan Duquette in the past. Mainly, believing that you are smarter than everyone else. This move (if it in fact happens) makes little sense on any level. Guthrie might deserve that much money as a reliever, but just barely.
Guthrie had a good year as a starter previously, in 1990, and has started 13 games since. He hasn't been all that effective in the last two years as a reliever, and his
3-year splits show that he didn't get any stronger as his outings progressed.
I'd save my money and spend it on a draft pick or David Cone. It just doesn't make a whole lot of sense to me.